Week IV NFL Picks
Despite graduating from a college that is the only state in the union that has legalized gambling on football I have a suspect track record on handicapping. One could assume that after many years of sub par picks I would stop embarrassing myself but I am married to the sea and like usual I will go down like the Edmund Fitzgerald.
With that said, here are my Week 4 Picks.
- Cleveland and Cincinnati: The Battle For Ohio ends with a Bengals victory. The Bengals showed some improvement in an overtime loss against the Giants and should be able to get their first win against the equally hapless Browns.
- Minnesota at Tennessee: The Titans are on a roll and have found that QB’s with a history of hurling racial epitaphs and drinking issues are better than their counterparts that could be suicidal. I am going with the Titans in this one.
- Denver at Kansas City: The Chiefs may be the worse team in the NFL and the Broncos are the flavor of the month after a pair of close (possibly lucky) wins so I got to pick the Broncos.

- San Francisco at New Orleans: I am a northern California guy but I hate the 49ers and in an effort of absolute disclosure I feel the need to convey that. Anywho, I am picking the Saints.
- Arizona at NYJets : I like the Cardinals but I have almost no faith in them when they’re on the road or squaring off against a legit team. Those two factors combine for a Jets win.
- Green Bay at Tampa Bay: I guess the Packers were right about Aaron Rodgers. I was never a big Brett Favre guy. Mainly because he played for the Chicago Bears arch rival and also because he was a media darling for his child like enthusiasm on the field. I’d be hella stoked too if I could constantly make mistakes at work and never lose my job. Green Bat wins on the road.
- Atlanta at Carolina: Despite some early success this is a rebuilding year for Atlanta and I think the Panthers are legit. Carolina will run over the divisional foe.
- Houston at Jacksonville: A smarter man than myself maintained that when most things are equal in a game take the home team. I will heed that advice.
- San Diego at Oakland: I like the direction the Raiders are headed, except for the treatment of Coach Kiffin, but the Chargers will march into Oakland and become Raider Haters.
- Buffalo at St. Louis: The Rams are winless and the franchise is spiraling towards mutiny. That’s a bad combo to take on the streaking Bills.
- Washington at Dallas:The Cowboys are the trendy pick to win the Super Bowl. I don’t agree but their definitely better than Washington.
- Philadelphia at Chicago: To show that I am serious about this recent batch of picks I am not picking the Bears to win regardless of who they’re playing. I am ashamed of myself but I am picking the Eagles.
- Baltimore at Pittsburgh: Simply put I am going with Pittsburgh. Simply put because I asked a friend of mine who he thought would win.
Opening Day Gripe But There Is Some Good News Too
Life is occupied in both perpetuating itself and in surpassing itself; if all it does is maintain itself, then living is only not dying.
- Simone de Beauvoir
The University of Nevada ran over the Grambling Tigers, 49-13, and won their first season opener since 2003. A win is always welcomed but in the upcoming weeks the Pack host Texas Tech and then hit the road to take on Missouri. After three weeks the Pack will likely be 1-2 and as usual in this latest Chris Ault era the pack will playing towards mediocrity.
2007 6-7, 4-4
2006 8-5, 5-3
2005 9-3, 7-1
2004 5-7, 3-5
28-22 .560
In the last four seasons the Pack has managed a mainly mediocre .560 winning percentage and a 1-2 record in post season bowl games.There have always been constant grumbling on the message boards that no one shows up to the games but one must remember that you have to give the fans a reason to come to Mackay Stadium and at this point they aren’t all lot of reasons. Positive showings against Texas Tech and Mizzou could remedy the situation and maybe create some buzz around Reno.

But as the Coach Ault ship keeps drifting in a sea of mediocrity the University of Nevada announced that they will honor their greatest son, Marion Motley. Throughout the 2008 season the Wolf Pack will have an image of Motley on their scoreboard at Mackay Stadium and their website will have various features honoring him throughout the season. 2008 marks the 40th anniversary of Motley’s introduction into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
Leinart vs. Warner
News of Matt Leinart losing his starting quarterback job to Kurt Warner have been greatly exaggerated.
“Contrary to everything (reported), nothing has changed,” Cardinals head coach Ken Whisenhunt said. “We have not made a decision. We have not named Kurt the starting quarterback.”
ESPN’s Chris Mortensen, citing unnamed sources, reported on Monday that the Cardinals we’re naming Warner their starting quarterback. Leinart went 4 for 12 with 3 interceptions in last Sunday’s exhibition against the Oakland Raiders.
Going into the 2008 season it was widely assumed that the starting job was Leinart’s to lose. Unfortunately his less than stellar play, along with the ageless play of the former Super Bowl MVP Warner, have many scribes staing that the NFC West is not the PAC 10 and maybe he is not suited rise to the dizzying highs in the NFL.
DavidPatrickCastro.com is pro Leinart endeavor and still feels that he will suceed in the NFL. Other pundits have begun to right him off but the former Heisman winner will ultimately play up to his potential and lead the Cardinals.
Rex Grossman Loses His Job To Kyle Orton
The Chicago Bears announced that Kyle Orton will be their starting quarterback over their incumbent Rex Grossman. Orton went 2-1 last season while subbing for the injured Grossman during the last three games of the season.
“In the end it comes down to a gut feeling that you have,” head coach Lovie Smith said. “And I feel good about Kyle leading our team.”
Orton has amassed a record of 12-6 as a starter and Grossman is 19-11 while at the helm of the Bears.
Games Rating Att. Comp. PCT. Yards Y/G Y/A TD INT
Rex Grossman 32 70.9 489 900 54.3 5907 184.6 6.6 31 33
Kyle Orton 18 62.2 233 448 52.0 2347 130.4 5.2 12 15
Despite leading the Bears to the Super Bowl I, like many pundits, have never fully embraced Grossman and to this Bears’ fan they seemed to succeed despite his maverick style. I waste a lot of time watching football and one of my casual observations is to watch how the players interact with one another on the sidelines during the game. For the most part Grossman never talked to anyone but the occasional coach and this was usually for some form of admonishment.
While a guy like Orton was interacting with his teammates and for the most part he seemed at ease with his peers and they liked being around him. It is the opinion of this scribe that players are more inclined to perform and stick their necks out for a guy they like. Grossman always seemed to be isolated on the sidelines and this may have led to him being a distant leader on the field. A lieutenant needs the respect of his men and the Bears finally realized that Orton has it.
Colt Brennan Preseason Update
Former University of Hawaii quarterback Colt Brennan continues to show that he belongs in the NFL and after three preseasas on games the Heisman finalist has gone 17/23 with 239 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes and no interceptions. At this point Brennan is likely the third string quarterback for Washington but has shown some flashes of belonging in the NFL.
Colt Brennan and Are You Ready For Some Pre Season Football?
Former University of Hawaii standout Colt Brennan threw two touchdown passes and finished 9 for 10 for 123 yards in his pro debut. I guess a preseason game against the Colts’ third string defense counts as a pro debut but those misgivings aside Brennan proved that he can make all the reads and throws necessary to be an NFL quarterback.
“More than his throws, what I was pleased with is how he was looking to the right guy when he was backpedaling,” said Washington head coach Jim Zorn, a former NFL quarterback. “He knew the plays, knew the routes. He should feel very good about his performance.”
Last nights performance was nice but Matt Leinart’s former back up (Mater Dei High School) will need many more strong performances before he can begin to shed the system quarterback label. On a national stage last night Brennan did prove that his side arm delivery could lead him to being more than a WAC oddity that shined bright when no one was watching. Mahalo, Colt.
Brett Favre and the Madden Curse
Madden NFL 2009 will be released on August 12th, 2009 with former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre on the cover. At the time of release Favre was retired and became the first non active cover boy in the history of the vidoe game franchise. Until recent developments it would also seem that Favre was going to be the first player to avoid the Madden Curse.
Prior to 1999, every annual installment of the Madden NFL series primarily featured John MaddenElectronic Arts selected Garrison Hearst to appear on the cover, and has since featured one of the league’s top players on every annual installment.[5] Since then, certain players have experienced a decline in performance, usually due to an injury. For example, quarterback Michael Vick appeared on the cover of on its cover. In 1999, Madden 2004, and suffered a leg injury that sidelined him for most of the 2004 season.[5] In a similar example, running back Shaun Alexander, then the league’s reigning Most Valuable Player , was featured on the cover of Madden NFL 2007, and sustained a foot injury that caused him to miss six starts.[6] As a result, Alexander’s rushing statistics were substantially less than those from the previous season.[6] - Wilikpedia.org
Of course Favre is likely to come out of retirement and any NFL franchise should be reticent to trade for the future Hall of Famer due to his inclusion on the cover of the latest version of Madden. I am not saying he will get injured, his 253 consecutive starts point to the contrary, but he could under perform like many of his Madden cover boys predecessors.
Madden cover curses aside history is not on the side of Favre. There is also a nasty precedent of aging quarterbacks hanging on too long and playing for different teams at the end of their careers( i.e. Joe Namath, Johnny Unitas and Joe Montana). Of course Montana played fairly well for Kansas City but he was never the same quarterback and this is the likely scenario for Favre.
2008 Nevada Football Preview
The 2007 version of the Wolf Pack finished the year 6-7 (4-4) and were lambasted by their Lobo hosts 23-0 in the New Mexico Bowl. That season was filled with close calls; four losses by seven points or less. Including losses to Boise State and Hawaii by a total of four points. Of course they squeaked out close wins against a pair of Aggie (31-28 at Utah State and 40-38 at New Mexico State). Throughout the season you never knew what version of the Pack was going to show up: the one that went toe to toe with national powerhouses or team that played down to its lesser opponents.
This season will likely be a similar to 2007 with some missed opportunities at victory and a general sense that the Pack is not ready to make the jump from mid level WAC team to the Boise States or Fresno States of the world. The Pack will beat the opponents that they’re supposed to and like 2007 they will fall short against the better teams in the WAC and the rest of the NCAA.
- 8/30 Grambling (W) The Pack scheduled a cupcake to start of their new campaign. It seems that they have learned from last seasons opening day fiasco against Nebraska and want to start their new season on the right foot. I am probably more stoked to see the Tiger Marching Band than the actual team.
- 9/6 Texas Tech (L) The Red Raiders are a preseason top 25 pick by many pundits and bring their high powered passing game, dubbed Air Raid, to Reno, and they will invoke memories of the Blitz to the Pack’s revamped 4-3 defense.
- 9/13 @ Missouri (L) Missouri finished 5th (AP) in the country and the Pack will likely wish that they had stayed in No Town after squaring off against the Tigers and Heisman finalist Chase Daniel.
- 9/27 @ UNLV (W) Coach Ault makes it a point to always beat the Rebels. Maybe he should also focus on the other 11 games each season…
- 10/04 @ Idaho (W) I almost attended the University of Idaho and I am glad I didn’t. The Vandal football program is one of the reasons why I am glad I didn’t go. Some of my negative vibes about the Vandals are also shared by Pete Fiutak, of FoxSports.com, who stated “Idaho won’t go 1-11, but it’ll likely be the underdog in all 11 FBS games.”
- 10/11 New Mexico State (L) It’ll definitely be a high scoring affair in Reno. The Pack have more fire power and a better defense than the Aggies and this will be a prototypical WAC game.
- 10/18 Utah State (W) The WAC’s other Aggies are about as potent as the an AARP memeber that forgot its Viagra.
- 10/26 @ Hawaii (L) Sure they lost everything that got them to the BCS but even a stripped down version of the Warriors are a tough opponent when they’re playing at home.
- 11/07 @ Fresno State (L) The Bulldogs will be the third straight team from the WAC to play in a BCS bowl game.
- 11/15 San Jose State (L) When I attended Nevada I used to laugh at the Spartans but Coach Tomey has changed the culture of San Jose State.
- 11/22 Boise State (L) Nevada has not beaten Boise State since 1998 and this decade of futility will continue.
- 11/29 @ Louisiana Tech (W) The Bulldogs are led by a champion… only that Champion is named Zac.
Misc. WAC Football Notes…
Western Athletic Conference foes, Nevada and Louisiana Tech, were both listed by Rivals.com as being the hosts in match ups “where the visiting team has a lot to lose and not much – or anything – to gain.” The article is slap in the face to the Pack by portraying the WAC stalwarts as nothing more than victims to their more prominent brethren.
The Wolfpack are hosting the Texas Tech Raiders on September 6th. The Red Raiders averaged 40.9 points per game and will likely light up the scoreboard against Nevada’s defense that gave up 32.2. ppg, 95th in the NCAA, last season.
The LA Tech Bulldogs open up with the Mississippi State Bulldogs on August 30th. Per Rivals.com,”This is the first time an SEC team has deigned to travel to Ruston to play the Bulldogs.”
In all likelihood Nevada will get throttled by Texas Tech but scheduling the Red Raiders is an indication that Coach Ault and the Pack are making the proper scheduling strides.Hopefully the results will not be as one sided as last season’s fiasco against the Nebraska Cornhuskers.
Madden ‘09 and Matt Jones
Life In The DPC is eagerly waiting for the release of Madden NFL ‘09 on August 12th, 2008. It’s sad but true that Madden NFL 2008 is still on heavy rotation at the palatial estate of your scribe considering that there are minimal changes from each annual edition. Like the main difference from the ‘07 edition to the ‘08 edition is the exclusion of Pacman Jones but in an act of hypocrisy Tank Johnson and Chris Henry were both included.
Maybe I was irked by the exclusion of Pacman Jones because he is a member of the DPC Madden All Stars (i.e. players that I always have on my Madden Franchise Teams). With Pacman booted out of the ‘08 version I had to go to my back up defensive back Antrel Rolle. (Keep in mind Rolle is on the DPC All Stars because he was involved in the greatest “tackle” I witnessed in person. The aforementioned tackle, and YouTube link, are not given justice by the Zapruder-esque video but I thought Larry Johnson had broken his neck during the play.)
The DPC Madden All Stars recently took a bad hit when their wide receiver Matt Jones got busted for alleged possession of a controlled substance after he may have been found cutting up cocaine with a credit card while sitting in a car in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Jones made the DPC All Stars for the same reason that the Jaguars made him a first round draft pick;a 4.40 40-yard dash to go along with his 6′6″ and 232 lbs. measurements.
With a little over a month to go before Madden ‘08 is released the DPC All Stars will likely include:
QB: JaMarcus Russel (The heir apparent to Jeff George)
HB: Reggie Bush, Michael Bennett
FB:LenDale White (I know he’s a halfback but I line him up as fullback because of his girth and speed)
WR: Matt Jones, Drew Carter, Mike Williams, Nate Burleson
TE: Greg Olson
DB: Pacman Jones, Antrel Rolle